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Stochastic modeling of the storage phase transition in renewable energy systems

Tue Jensen
(Technical University of Denmark, Kgs. Lyngby)
Thiele Seminar
Friday, 13 September, 2013, at 12:15-13:00, in Aud. D4 (1531-219)
Abstract:

Renewable energy systems with x% renewable penetration reveal a cusp singularity at x=100% for the required back-up storage energy capacity. It will be shown that this phenomenon is related to a phase transition, with x being the control parameter and the average storage filling level being the order parameter. Simplified stochastic processes lead to a scaling exponent of one. Based on weather-driven renewable power generation data, a Markov process is proposed, which is also able to describe the temporal correlations in the mismatches between power generation and load, and which is able to reproduce the non-scaling cusp singularity behavior.

Organised by: The T.N. Thiele Centre
Contact person: Søren Asmussen