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Non-standard limits for a family of autoregressive stochastic sequences

Sergey Foss (Heriot-Watt University)
Tuesday 17 October 2023 13:15–14:00 Aud. D1 (1531-113)
Stochastics Seminar

We consider a family of multivariate autoregressive stochastic sequences that restart when hit a neighbourhood of the origin, and study their distributional limits when the autoregressive coefficient tends to one, the noise scaling parameter tends to zero, and the neighbourhood size varies. We obtain a non-standard limit theorem where the limiting distribution is a mixture of an atomic distribution and an absolutely continuous distribution whose marginals, in turn, are mixtures of distributions of signed absolute values of normal random variables. In particular, we provide conditions for the limiting distribution to be normal, like in the case without restart mechanism. The main theorem is accompanied by a number of examples and auxiliary results of their own interest.

Based on joint work with M Schulte (SPA, 2021)

Organised by: Stochastics Group
Contact: Andreas Basse-O'Connor Revised: 13.10.2023