A Central Limit Theorem for Realised Power and Bipower Variations of Continuous Semimartingales
by Ole E.Barndorff-Nielsen, Svend Erik Graversen, Jean Jacod, Mark Podolskij and Niel Shephard
Research Reports
Number 446 (October 2004)
Consider a semimartingale of the form Yt=Y0+∫t0asds+∫t0σs−dWs, where a is a locally bounded predictable process and σ (the "volatility") is an adapted right-continuous process with left limits and W is a Brownian motion. We consider the realised bipower variation process V(Y;r,s)nt=nr+s2−1∑[nt]i=1|Yin−Yi−1n|r|Yi+1n−Yin|s, where r and s are nonnegative reals with r+s>0. We prove that V(Y;r,s)nt converges locally uniformly in time, in probability, to a limiting process V(Y;r,s)t (the "bipower variation process"). If further σ is a possibly discontinuous semimartingale driven by a Brownian motion which may be correlated with W and by a Poisson random measure, we prove a central limit theorem, in the sense that √n(V(Y;r,s)n−V(Y;r,s)) converges in law to a process which is the stochastic integral with respect to some other Brownian motion W′, which is independent of the driving terms of Y and σ. We also provide a multivariate version of these results, and a version in which the absolute powers are replaced by smooth enough functions.
Published in Yu. Kabanov, R. Liptser and J. Stoyanov (Eds.): From Stochastic Calculus to Mathematical Finance. Festschrift in Honour of A.N. Shiryaev. Heidelberg: Springer. N. Pp. 33-68.
This primarily serves as Thiele Research Reports number 8-2004, but was also published in Research Reports